Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.620259 4.979675 5.373543 5.841106 6.386319 7.008850 7.783747
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.195475 4.666446 5.213923 5.909729 6.789884 7.895743 9.444076
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.885072 4.429696 5.093689 5.988052 7.205953 8.886189 11.557293
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.718653 4.342802 5.140461 6.281639 7.967379 10.568363 15.474048
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.395777 4.022986 4.847896 6.074052 7.986590 11.185269 18.118629
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.243787 3.911033 4.820541 6.240785 8.625589 13.113304 25.417691
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.089398 3.780674 4.752372 6.338052 9.192540 15.260774 37.687617
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.884534 3.562615 4.534333 6.165773 9.243874 16.398073 51.137326
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.690173 3.345119 4.297201 5.930403 9.126900 17.127699 68.631798
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.652432 3.350070 4.398661 6.292796 10.359526 22.893393 401.235381
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.690873 3.470599 4.697494 7.084920 13.016091 40.709162 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.601032 3.387783 4.653034 7.207975 14.078004 57.276287 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.451640 3.217258 4.469473 7.073497 14.556091 79.221695 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.328087 3.078838 4.328475 7.009744 15.311014 132.540954 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.221762 2.960471 4.211494 6.981837 16.271785 340.665616 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.160787 2.911459 4.215976 7.248782 18.871185 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.034661 2.745708 3.985788 6.888688 18.238383 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.972491 2.683362 3.946865 7.016530 20.466091 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.907513 2.611739 3.882721 7.067025 22.526240 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.818585 2.493765 3.716750 6.803555 22.183378 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.731034 2.374017 3.539045 6.481437 21.174824 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.713250 2.374087 3.601677 6.867798 26.781118 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.730248 2.436384 3.800673 7.758826 44.584894 NaN NaN